What are the drop rates for the different rarities in Loot Boxes?

Loot Boxes can have items with rarities from Common, Rare, Epic, and Legendary.

What I'd like to know is, with the nature of Loot Boxes, what are the drop rates of Common/Rare/Epic/Legendary items? I'd especially like to know what are the chances to get a Legendary skin from a Loot Box.

For example, in TF2, Valve has made all crates a 1% flat chance to get an Unusual Hat. In CS:GO, it's the same thing, with a 1% to get an Exceedingly Rare Special Item. In Overwatch, what are my chances of getting a specific rarity from a Loot Box?

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4 Answers

There are no published drop rates as such but here is a link to a Reddit thread which has compiled a list of percentages over 1000 crates by various people compiled into one list. It's still a small sample size in the grand scheme of things but it's better than individual stats. To follow the links below you can use the Reddit thread.

Video link Common Rare Epic Legendary
Force 235 125 31 9
Royal 113 66 15 6
Futile 116 67 15 6
Jeel 118 64 14 4
Boogie2988 117 64 18 5
DrFeelgood 121 60 13 6
Masier 117 64 14 5
MFPallytime 237 132 27 8
Stylosa 245 125 28 6
Drift0r 116 58 15 7
Redmercy 234 125 33 12
Nero 238 121 29 8
Outfoxed 284 167 31 14
Gamespot 121 65 14 4
Total count 2412 1303 297 100
Percent of Total 58.66% 31.69% 7.22% 2.43%
Drop rate 97.08% 78.22% 25.91% 9.38%
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Blizzard (China) just revealed some numbers, at least for now it is not know if these numbers apply for China only, or for China and any other region.

  • Every Loot Box contains one item of Rare (blue) or higher quality 100% of the time.
  • For every 5.5 boxes opened (18.2%), a Epic item (purple) will be inside.
  • For every 13.5 boxes opened (7.4%), a Legendary (gold) item will be inside.

It is believed that these numbers are valid worldwide but this is not yet confirmed. They are confirmed to apply for China. I'll update as soon as more information is available.

Blizzard did not actually release percentages, but they were calculated by a few places, including PC Gamer.

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odds are for getting any of the following:
Rare - 15 in 10 loot crates
Epic - 3 in 10 loot crates
Legendary - 1 in 15 loot crates
I'm not sure what the odds for getting a specific item are, but I hope this was helpful. :-)

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I personally opened 40 boxes and got 1 legendary.

I don't think we can truly tell the % rate for now, unless Blizzard releases a statement, or we can get a large sample of openings and make some % ourselves with those results.

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